Current Projects
 
Search
 

Home
Search for Projects
View Projects
Project Title
by Subject/Focus Area
by Board/Committee
by Major Unit
Provisional Committee Appointments Open for Formal Public Comments
by Last Update
Meeting Information
Conflict of Interest Policy
Committee Appointment Process
FAQ
  Project Information

Project Information

 Printer Friendly Version

Project Title:

Developing a U.S. Research Agenda to Advance Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting
PIN: DELS-BASCPR-13-05        

Major Unit:

Division on Earth and Life Studies

Sub Unit: Board on Atmospheric Sciences & Climate
Ocean Studies Board

RSO: Dunlea, Edward

Subject/Focus Area: Earth Sciences; Environment and Environmental Studies


Project Scope
An ad hoc committee will conduct a study that will identify opportunities to increase forecasting skill on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales based on the 2010 NRC report Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability and progress since.  The report will describe a strategy to increase the nation’s scientific capacity for research on S2S forecasting.  The committee will develop a 10-year scientific research agenda to accelerate progress on extending prediction skill for weather and ocean forecasts at spatial and temporal resolutions to aide in decision making. The committee’s report will cover:
Identification of potential sources of predictability and assessment of their relative value for advancing predictive skill;
Identification of process studies for incorporating new sources of predictability into models;
Application and advancement of ocean-atmosphere-ice-land coupled models;
Key observations needed for model initialization and verification of S2S forecasts;
Uncertainty quantification and verification of probabilistic products; 
Approaches to communicating this type of prediction in a way that is useful to and understandable by decision makers; and
Computational and data storage and visualization infrastructure requirements.


 
Project Duration: 18 months    

Provide FEEDBACK on this project.

Contact the Public Access Records Office to make an inquiry, request a list of the public access file materials, or obtain a copy of the materials found in the file.


Committee Membership
Committee Membership

Meetings
 Meeting 1 - 09/12/2014
 Meeting 2 - 10/07/2014

Reports

Reports having no URL can be seen
at the Public Access Records Office