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Project Title:

Survey Options for Estimating the Flow of Unauthorized Crossings at the U.S.-Mexican Border
PIN: DBASSE-CNSTAT-11-03        

Major Unit:

Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

Sub Unit: Committee on National Statistics

RSO: Majmundar, Malay

Subject/Focus Area: Behavioral and Social Sciences; Labor Force Issues; National Security and Defense

Project Scope
An ad hoc panel of experts will evaluate survey options to estimate the number of foreign nationals who attempt illegal entry across the U.S,-Mexican land border each year and/or the probability of apprehension of illegal entrants. The panel will evaluate currently available and potential survey sources for estimating the number of foreign nationals who attempt illegal entry and/or the probability of apprehension of illegal entrants. These sources will include surveys currently conducted in the United States and in Mexico by both government and non-government entities. As part of its evaluation, the panel may consider options for initiating new survey-based data collection, modifying existing surveys, and combining data from different sources. The panel will also review the administrative data sources that the Department of Homeland Security is currently evaluating for estimating the illegal flow in order to inform the survey options. The administrative sources include, but are not limited to, apprehension and re-apprehension rates, agency estimates, results of consequence programs, interviews with apprehended foreign nationals, and results of sensor activity. In addition to survey and administrative data, the panel may also consider various modeling methodologies. The panel will provide guidance on survey implementation and cost estimates under various options. The panel will also evaluate the possibilities of collecting information through surveys that could enable estimation of annual flow and/or the probability of apprehension of illegal entrants on a quarterly basis and for particular regions of the U.S.-Mexican border. The project is sponsored by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and the National Science Foundation. approximate start date for the project is July 1, 2011. The panel will issue a report with findings and recommendations.

Note: The project scope was revised for clarity and the updated version is as shown above.

Project Duration: 15 months    

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Committee Membership
Committee Membership

 Meeting 1 - 11/14/2011
 Meeting 2 - 01/17/2012
 Meeting 3 - 03/21/2012


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