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Project Title:
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Behavioral and Social-Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security
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PIN:
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BCSS-I-07-01-A
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Major Unit:
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Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
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Sub Unit:
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Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences
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RSO:
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Chauvin, Cherie
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Subject/Focus Area:
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Project Scope
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An ad hoc panel would synthesize and assess the behavioral and social-science research evidence relevant (1) to critical problems of individual and group judgment and of communication by intelligence analysts and (2) to kinds of analytic processes that are employed or have potential in addressing these problems. To the extent the evidence warrants, the panel would recommend kinds of analytic practices that intelligence analysts should adopt or at least explore further.
The panel would also recommend an agenda of further research that is needed to better understand the problems analysts face and to establish a base of evidence for current and potential solutions. Finally, the panel would identify impediments to implementing the results of such research, especially new tools, techniques, and other methods, and suggest how their implementation could be more effectively achieved.
In assessing the strength of the evidence, the panel would consider questions bearing upon the type of study (for example, case studies, large-scale field studies, laboratory studies, observational studies, or randomized control studies), the type of subject (for example, intelligence analysts, experts in areas similar to intelligence analysis, other experts, students, or other populations), and the attendant uncertainty (for example, robustness to different assumptions, confidence intervals and other measures, meta-analyses, exploration of alternative hypotheses or explanations of the data, extent of agreement in the scientific community).
The project is sponsored by the office of the Director of National Intelligence
The approximate start date for the project is September 1, 2008.
A report will be issued at the end of the project.
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Project Duration:
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24 months
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Provide FEEDBACK on this project.
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Tel:
202.334.2000