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Project Title:

America's Energy Future: Technology Opportunities, Risks, and Tradeoffs
PIN: DEPS-L-07-02-A        

Major Unit:

Division on Earth and Life Studies
Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences
National Academy of Engineering
Policy and Global Affairs
Transportation Research Board

Sub Unit:
RSO: Crowley, Kevin

Subject/Focus Area:

Project Scope
This study will critically evaluate the current and projected state of development of energy supply, storage, and end use technologies. The study will not make policy recommendations, but it will analyze where appropriate the role of public policy in determining the demand and cost for energy and the configuration of the nation’s energy systems. The committee will develop a “reference scenario” that reflects a projection of current economic, technology cost and performance, and policy parameters into the future. Within that scenario, the committee will evaluate energy technologies with respect to:

Estimated times to readiness for deployment
Current and projected costs (e.g., per unit of energy production or savings)
Current and projected performance (e.g., efficiency, emissions per unit of output)
Key technical, environmental, economic, policy, and social factors that would enhance or impede development and deployment
Key environmental (including CO2 mitigation), economic, energy security, social, and other life-cycle impacts arising from deployment
Key research and development (R&D) challenges

The committee may assess the sensitivity of these factors to possible variations in the key economic, technology cost and performance, and policy parameters that define the reference scenario.

The primary focus of the study will be on existing technologies and technologies likely to be available for deployment within the next decade. A secondary focus will be on technologies with longer times to deployment. The study will specifically provide estimates and findings on the following:

For current technologies and technologies where initial deployment is judged to be within the next decade: estimates of costs, performance, and impacts
For technologies where deployment is judged likely to be between 10 and 25 years: findings regarding key factors that enhance or impede adoption, implications for costs, and R&D challenges.

The project is sponsored by the National Academy of Engineering, National Research Council, the U.S. Department of Energy, General Motors, Intel Corporation, Kavli Foundation, and the Keck Foundation.

The approximate start date for the project is July 2007.

Two reports by the committee are planned. The first report will be based on a workshop to be held in the early part of the project. The second and final report will be issued at the conclusion of the project in approximately 18 months.

Note: The Energy Summit (Meeting 8), which was held March 13-14, 2008 in Washington, DC, was a public workshop. A report of this workshop summarizing the presentations and discussions will be issued. This report, authored by a subgroup of the committee, will have no findings and recommendations.

Project Duration: 18 months    

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Contact the Public Access Records Office to make an inquiry, request a list of the public access file materials, or obtain a copy of the materials found in the file.

Committee Membership
Committee Membership

 Meeting 1 - 09/20/2007
 Meeting 2 - 01/03/2008
 Meeting 3 - 01/22/2008
 Meeting 4 - 01/24/2008
 Meeting 5 - 01/28/2008
 Meeting 6 - 02/21/2008
 Meeting 7 - 03/07/2008
 Meeting 8 - 03/13/2008
 Meeting 9 - 04/02/2008
 Meeting 10 - 04/24/2008
 Meeting 11 - 07/21/2008
 Meeting 12 - 08/05/2008
 Meeting 13 - 08/06/2008
 Meeting 14 - 09/18/2008
 Meeting 15 - 11/11/2008
 Meeting 16 - 01/23/2009
 Meeting 17 - 02/27/2009


Reports having no URL can be seen
at the Public Access Records Office
America's Energy Future: Summary of a Meeting
America's Energy Future: Technology and Transformation: Summary Edition
America's Energy Future: Technology and Transformation