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Meeting Information

Project Title: Assessing the Risks of Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Integration

PIN: DEPS-ASEB-16-03         

Major Unit:
Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences

Sub Unit:
Aeronautics & Space Engineering Board DEPS

Day, Dwayne

Subject/Focus Area:
Engineering and Technology; Space and Aeronautics

Assessing the Risks of Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Integration
September 26, 2017 - September 28, 2017
National Academy of Sciences Building
2101 Constitution NW
Washington D.C. 20148

If you would like to attend the sessions of this meeting that are open
to the public or need more information please contact:

Contact Name: Dionna Wise
Phone: (202) 334-3477


Committee on Assessing the Risks of
Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Integration

Draft Agenda
Meeting #1: September 26-28, 2017

Tuesday, September 26, 2017
NAS Building Room 280
2101 Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC 20418


7:30 a.m. Room Opens

8:30 a.m. Meeting Convenes


10:00 a.m. The UAS Integration Office Bill Crozier

11:00 a.m. Office of Accident Investigation and Prevention Mike O’Donnell

12:00 p.m. Lunch available in the meeting room

1:00 p.m. Navigation & Unmanned Aircraft Systems Jeff Breunig

2:00 p.m. Industry views Ally Ferguson

3:00 p.m. Break

3:15 p.m. Safety Analysis Paradigm for UAS Jonathan Hammer

4:15 p.m. TBD TBD


5:30 p.m. Meeting adjourns to an alternate location

6:30 p.m. Working dinner at TBD TBD

8:30 p.m. Adjourn for the Day

Wednesday, September 27, 2017


7:30 a.m. Room Opens (working breakfast available in the meeting room)

8:30 a.m. Meeting Convenes

9:00 a.m. ASSURE Research Modeling for UAS Collision Risks David Arterburn
University of Alabama, Huntsville

10:00 a.m. Unmanned Systems Certification Wes Ryan

11:00 a.m. Break

11:15 a.m. Key Technology Enablers for Improving UAS Safety in the NAS Glenn Rossi

12:15 p.m. Lunch available in the meeting room

1:15 p.m. ATO Views on UAS Integration Gerry Pilj and Firdu Bati


3:15 p.m. Break

5:30 p.m. Adjourn for the Day

Thursday, September 28, 2017


7:30 a.m. Room Opens

8:30 a.m. TBD TBD

10:30 a.m. Break

10:45 a.m. TBD TBD

12:00 p.m. Lunch available in the meeting room

1:00 p.m. Meeting Adjourns

Statement of Task
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine will appoint an ad hoc committee with representation from industry, academia and government to undertake a study to evaluate the potential of probabilistic assessments of risks and other risk assessment methods for streamlining the process of integrating unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) into the national airspace system (NAS) and identify supporting research and development opportunities in this field. The committee will execute the following tasks:
• Consider recent, current, and planned FAA efforts to evaluate the risks associated with the integration of UAS into the national airspace system and risk assessment methods.
• Consider mechanisms for assessing severity and likelihood metrics required for probabilistic and other appropriate risk assessment methods based on UAS design characteristics (e.g., weight, speed, materials, and technologies) and operational characteristics (e.g., airspace characteristics, population density, and whether they are piloted remotely or autonomously).
• Determine how the scope and detail required of risk assessment methods may vary for different sizes and operations of UAS (e.g., Part 107 vs. Part 91 operations) and whether certain classes of UAS (micro, etc.) could be operated with the assumption they are inherently low risk.
• Evaluate other methods that could reasonably be used to evaluate the risks of UAS integration in the NAS. What are the benefits and limitations of these alternate methods? How do these alternate methods compare to probabilistic risk assessment methods as well as severity and likelihood metrics traditionally used by the FAA for manned aircraft?
• What state of the art assessment methods are currently in use by industry, academia, other agencies of the U.S. government, or other international civil aviation authorities that could benefit the FAA?
• What are the key advancements or goals for performance-based expanded UAS operations in the NAS that can reasonably be achieved through the application of the recommended risk assessment methods in the short-term (1-5 years), mid-term (5-10 years) and the longer-term (10-20 years).
• What are the key challenges or barriers that must be overcome to implement the recommended risk assessment methods in order to attain these key goals?
• In light of ongoing research and likely advances in risk assessment methods by other organizations, what research and development projects related to risk assessment methods should be the highest priority for the FAA?
• Are there other related recommendations to streamline FAA processes (not governed by regulation) that would either improve the effectiveness of risk assessment methods for integration of UAS into the national airspace system or expedite the development of such methods?
The committee may also comment on the effectiveness of risk assessment methods as they pertain to decision making and different modes of UAS operations. However, the committee will not recommend changes to regulations governing UAS operations, nor will the study recommend changes to the organization of the FAA. The scope of this study includes UAS certifications well as operational approval.

The following information is provided for any members of the general public who may be in attendance:

This meeting is being held to gather information to help the committee conduct its study. This committee will examine the information and material obtained during this, and other public meetings, in an effort to inform its work. Although opinions may be stated and lively discussion may ensue, no conclusions are being drawn at this time and no recommendations will be made. In fact, the committee will deliberate thoroughly before writing its draft report. Moreover, once the draft report is written, it must go through a rigorous review by experts who are anonymous to the committee, and the committee then must respond to this review with appropriate revisions that adequately satisfy the Academy’s Report Review committee and the chair of the NRC before it is considered an NRC report. Therefore, observers who draw conclusions about the committee’s work based on today’s discussions will be doing so prematurely.

Furthermore, individual committee members often engage in discussion and questioning for the specific purpose of probing an issue and sharpening an argument. The comments of any given committee member may not necessarily reflect the position he or she may actually hold on the subject under discussion, to say nothing of that person’s future position as it may evolve in the course of the project. Any inference about an individual’s position regarding findings or recommendations in the final report are therefore also premature.


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Tuesday, September 26 - Open Session TBD
Meeting Name: TBD Open
Meeting Password: TBD
Conference Code: TBD
Url: TBD
Wednesday, September 27 - Open Session TBD
Meeting Name: TBD Open
Meeting Password: TBD
Conference Code: TBD
Url: TBD

If you require a toll free number to call in from outside the United States, please contact Dionna Wise (

Last updated: September 5, 2017 – 4 PM

Closed Session Summary Posted After the Meeting

The following committee members were present at the closed sessions of the meeting:
Dr. George T. Ligler
Dr. Brian M. Argrow
Dr. Gregory Baecher
Dr. Stephen P. Cook
Dr. Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Dr. Leticia Cuellar-Hengartner
Ms. Margaret T. Jenny
Mr. Andrew R. Lacher
Dr. Karen B. Marais
Mr. Paul McDuffee
Dr. Amy R. Pritchett (via WebEx)
Dr. Agam N. Sinha
Dr. Karen E. Willcox
Dr. Craig A. Woolsey

The following topics were discussed in the closed sessions:
*Bias and Conflict Discussion
*Topics for the next meeting.
*Speakers to address the topics.
*The report outline.
*Committee homework assignments.

The following materials (written documents) were made available to the committee in the closed sessions:
No outside materials were distributed to the committee.

Date of posting of Closed Session Summary: September 27, 2017